Operation Iraqi Liberation (OIL) â€“ A Deviant Analysis.
Un-published in the Israeli Media throughout March and April 2003.
â€œThe United States Is The Most Peaceful Nation On Earth.â€ â€“ G. W. Bush.
â€œUbi solitudinem faciunt, pacem appellant.â€ â€“ Tacitus, Agricola 30.5.
(Where they create desolation, they call it peace.).
The media cannons are blasting away, and the gung-ho coverage is so noisy that the important questions and their answers are barely heard. Below we formulate those issues pertinent in forming our opinion about the impending war (â€œIs it moral?â€, â€œShould we, as Israelis, support the war even if it is immoral?â€, etc.).
So â€¦ what are the expected consequences of the war? What can we learn from the rationale offered for it? What are its motives? What are the alternatives?.
First Outcome: Thousands of Dead, Injured and Misplaced People.
A leaked UN document dated December 10, 2002 examines â€œLikely Humanitarian Scenariosâ€ and based on WHOâ€™s estimates concludes that â€œas many as 500,000 could require treatment to a greater or lesser degree as a result of direct or indirect injuries" (para. 23).
Moreover, based on a UNICEF analysis it estimates "that the nutritional status of some 3.03 million persons countrywide will be dire and they will require therapeutic feeding.â€ (para. 27).
Finally, based on a UNHCR estimate it fears â€œthat there will eventually be some 900,000 Iraqi refugees requiring assistance, of which 100,000 will be in need of immediate assistance." (para. 35).
Those of us who support the war should remember this staggering price. .
Those of us who oppose the war should strive to bring this information to the knowledge of others. There is a slight chance that world opinion and mobilization, this new emerging semi-super-power, will affect the actual conduct of war, â€˜forcingâ€™ the US-UK forces to be more cautious than usual.