Is the human being rational or not
The neo-classical finance theory which is onset of Markowitz¡¯s portfolio selection theory(1952) is mostly based on the following assumptions: The investors¡¯ behavior are completely rational, the actions of all the investors are guided by the criterion of maximizing expected utility; And simultaneously the markets are efficient (EMH). As Fridson (1994) asserted, based upon the normative assumptions and the EMH, rational and fully informed investors (i.e., representative agents) quickly eliminate any tendency of a class of securities to deviate, on a risk-adjusted basis, from a market rate of return and thereby forcing their prices to resume or converge to their equilibrium level which reflect their true fundamental values. Based on these two assumptions, the neo-classical finance theories try to use decision-making model to explain what is the best decision and to discuss the investors¡¯ behavior during the decision- making procedure. However, in reality, the assumption of rational investors follow the optimality principle seems not strong enough. In this paper, I critically discuss the validity of this approach and its potential to serve as a normative theory of asset allocation.
In the research of Shleifor(1998), he found that influenced by the emotion of regret, fear and short-sight, investors usually undervalue the stock prices of the companies which were recently in the trouble. In the same reason, investors usually overvalue the stock prices of the companies that they believe would grow up very fast. However, the investors don¡¯t know whether these companies would become better or not. So, people are ultimately driven by their emotions, not their logic, they are often irrational in making investment decision. University of Chicago economist Richard Thaler conducted a famous experiment in which he gave one group of his student coffee mugs and a second group money, then offered to buy mugs from the first and sell mugs to the second. Classical theory would predict that students selling the mugs would ask for about the same prices as the buyers would be willing to pay. But, in fact, the sellers asked for twice as much. Apparently, humans have an instinctive and "irrational" predisposition to hoard material wealth. And because of this ¡°irrational¡±, it would be difficult for the ¡°buyers¡± and the ¡°sellers¡± to get the some cognition of the price. paper is organized as follows. Section 2 presents the nature of human being and discusses why investors are not rational. Section 3 presents the reason of human¡¯s irrationality. Section 4 summarizes the main results and presents conclusions. 2. Is the human being rational or not Other than neo-classical finance theory, behavioral Finance theory uses the more mundane empirical observations and the experimental results of extensive studies in other social science disciplines such as psychology, sociology, and political science. Behavioral Finance theory assumes the preferences of investors are diversified and changeable and such preferences usually form during the
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Approximate Word count = 1260
Approximate Pages = 5 (250 words per page double spaced)
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