How China is using the WTO
Last year with great fanfare China joined the World Trade Organization (WTO). For all the excitement this has generated it should be clear to everybody that China’s WTO membership will bring with it many risks. China’s famously inefficient industries are simply unable to compete with private sector companies without a massive increase in bankruptcies or unemployment. Either would put additional burdens on a banking system that already has enough holes in its balance sheet to collapse several times over.In order to understand why China has embraced the risks of WTO membership, it is probably useful to recall Argentina’s one-time infatuation with the convertibility plan. Argentina in the late 1980s was a country that had lived through nearly a decade of economic and financial chaos after several decades of remarkable economic decline. By the late 1980s, many Argentines were extremely pessimistic about Argentina’s ability ever to put its economic house in order. According to Argentine consensus, the basic problem was that Argenti
The answer, like in Argentina’s case, was to take control out of government hands. By joining the WTO, senior Chinese officials hoped that they would force changes onto state-owned and collective industries that would destroy the grip of the bureaucrats and force a rational restructuring. But China, too, saw massive capital inflows during the 1990s, and little has been forced to change during the past few years while China was supposedly gearing up for the WTO. Perhaps that approach could have worked under certain conditions, but Argentina was cursed by what at first seemed like very good luck. Around the same time that Argentina adopted the currency board, the US markets were going through an historic expansion in liquidity that saw huge increases in risk appetite and vast amounts of capital flowing into emerging markets, new technology ventures, real estate, and risky assets everywhere. Argentina was one of the countries that participated in this orgy of speculation.
Some topics in this essay:
According Argentine,
China’s WTO,
Organization WTO,
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monetary policy,
currency board,
argentina’s monetary policy,
fiscal reforms,
argentina’s monetary,
late 1980s,
wto membership,
convertibility plan,
fiscal deficit,
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Approximate Word count = 708
Approximate Pages = 3 (250 words per page double spaced)
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