China
China¡¯s Leadership Transition: Implication for China-US RelationsApproaching the new China¡¯s leadership At the Sixteenth Congress of CCP in November 2002 and the 10th National People's Congress in March 2003, China completed a smooth transition from the Jiang Zemin¡¯s team to the Hu Jintao¡¯s team. It was China's first orderly transfer of authority since 1949. Most old Chinese leaders with whom the western countries are familiar will wane naturally from public sight. There is an interesting phenomenon in the new China¡¯s leadership. Nine members of Political Bureau Standing Committee of CCP, who are regarded as the center of China¡¯s political decision-making by the American China¡¯s experts, are all engineers with professional skill in certain field and with the education background of studying science and technology. None of them has worked in the department of foreign affairs for a long time. They seem to have little diplomatic experience of dealing with the outside world. Therefore, some American scholars, such as Pei Minxin and Michael Swaine from Carnegie, are afraid that China will increase political instability and face the governance
Secondly, as two great powers in the world, China and US should strengthen a consultation in the international affairs, and often exchange their views on many hotspots in the world. Both leaders try to make the other side know clearly about their own national goals and national interests, and avoid the big misunderstanding in the judgment of both strategic intentions, and avoid offending the deadline of both national interests. Only the consensus is formed among the great powers, can a stable international system be maintained. Thus, any rising power will be certainly integrated into the international community and becomes a normal country. we learn one useful lesson from Vienna systems in the 19th century, that is, the Consensus among the great powers are more important than the balance of powers in safeguarding the world peace. Firstly, to my opinion, it is very important to form a mutual trust relation between Hu¡¯s team and Bush¡¯s team, because it helps to solve the bilateral issues and to manage the possible crisis in China-USA relations. The good news is that President George W. Bush and President Jiang Zemin have been keeping a pleasing private relationship mainly after the Crawford meeting. Since then, the American scholars recognize China's efforts to play a constructive role in resolving the crisis of North Korea's nuclear weapons programs. In the ¡°North Korea-US-China¡± talk in Beijing, Chinese officials faithfully conveyed messages between the U.S. and North Korea, and then Chinese officials have called Pyongyang's attention to the dangerous consequences of its actions. Moreover, China voted in the International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) to refer the North Korean nuclear issue to the UN Security Council, while Russia and Cuba abstained (Bonnie S. Glaser). Now the Chinese leadership has changed, and we hope that President Hu Jintao continues to keep and develop the good contacts with President George W. Bush by using various diplomatic occasions. To the new China¡¯s leadership, the core of the national strategy is to promote the economic growth and improve Chinese people¡¯s life. They will be certain to understand the Asian-Pacific security issue from this strategic height. So it is right to say that China¡¯s Interests in East Asia are largely consistent with America main interests in Asian-Pacific region especially in China (John Despres), and that China will continue to follow a moderate and pragmatic approach toward its periphery, along with continued U.S.-China cooperation in Asia (Robert Sutter) For many Chinese, China is presently experiencing social transformation and their leadership¡¯s change is only one part of the social transformation. The result of the transformation will influence directly the development of Sino-US relations. Some scholars generalize the social transformation in China as ¡°Toward Republic¡±. It means that China will be transformed into a full marketing economy country with observing the law of value, a real modern country with building democratic and legal system, a responsible great power with respecting the international system and its rules. Despite China began the great historical process since 1911 when Mr. Sun Zhongshan overthrew Qing dynasty and changed China from the empire into the republic, China has never really finished the task of becoming a real republic since then. Now the mission of fulfilling the great task befalls historically on the shoulders of Hu Jintao and his team. It is a quite arduous task, for there are too many troubles realizing the mission. The new leadership faces the serious challenges from many sides. Different worldviews, different strategic understanding Another thinking way in the game of go
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George Bush,
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Approximate Word count = 3456
Approximate Pages = 14 (250 words per page double spaced)
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