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Population Disaster

The People’s Republic of China is a vastly populated country. The inhabitants of the country make up approximately twenty percent of the world’s population. For nearly 2,000 years, the population of China fluctuated between 60,000,000 and 110,000,000. When the People’s Republic of China was founded in 1949, the population was approximately 540,000,000. Within three decades, the population had increased to over 800,000,000. During the next three decades the population is expected to increase by over 260,000,000. Although this is not as tremendous an increase as in the first thirty years of the country, this number is equivalent to the total population of the United States. This increase is driven by the high fertility rates of the 1950’s and 1960’s, which averaged between 5.6 and 6.3 children per woman. During the 1970’s and 1980’s the fertility rate dropped to around 1.8 children per woman. Even though the fertility rate has dropped, the population will continue to experience tremendous growth because of the large number of young adults of reproductive age.

The United Nations Population Division estimates that China’s population will grow to 1,490,000,000 by 2025, but will decre


So who really knows the future growth of China? The answer is no one knows. Even the researches trying to calculate population growth of the country agree that even the best guesses will be off by millions in the least. Obviously the population of China will continue to increase, but not at such a monstrous pace as between 1950-1995. If forecasters are to be considered remotely accurate, the population will level out in about fifty years because of present measures in effect. But do not worry, China will retain its crown as the most populous nation.

The result of the high fertility rates of the 1950’s and 1960’s leaves China with a large number of young adults of reproductive age. This number will continue to increase until around 2015. China’s population planners can’t control this increase, but would like to maintain the current fertility levels or 1.8 children per woman. Another thing that will contribute to a less dramatic increase in population is the liberalization of society. Even though many of these younger Chinese may not accept the one-child policy, many will put off marriage, childbirth, and spacing between children to pursue education and careers. These urbanized young adults are the ones who have benefited the m

Some topics in this essay:
Population Division, Republic China, one-child policy, children woman, fertility rate dropped, rates 1950’s 1960’s, adults reproductive age, People’s Republic, fertility rates 1950’s, 18 children woman, economic development, fertility rate, future growth, china parents, rates 1950’s, liberalization society, 1950’s 1960’s, decades population,

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Approximate Word count = 845
Approximate Pages = 3 (250 words per page double spaced)


  

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